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| The irony of climate change is that it brings more rains and flood in the community, but the land the people till for agricultural purposes tend to become arid.
Soaring
temperatures driven by climate change are whipping up ever more intense storms
inundating cities with flash floods but leaving the countryside and crucial
agricultural land parched, an Australian study has found.
Researchers
at Australia's University of New South Wales (UNSW) found that while hotter
weather sparked heavier storms leading to floods in built up areas, it also
reduces moisture in the soil, which then quickly absorbs any excess and reduces
water flow in rural rivers.
"So
when the big rainfall events... do fall, a bigger proportion of them are stored
up in the soil, so you have a lesser proportion coming out as flows," UNSW
professor of hydrology Ashish Sharma said.
Experts
say decreases in waterways in farming areas threatens agriculture and food
security, requiring urgent attention amid a forecast rise in the global
population by 23 percent to nine billion over the next two decades.
Meanwhile,
they point out that city infrastructure is struggling to cope with the harsher
downpours, with flood damage worldwide costing more US$50 billion in 2013 a
figure expected to double in the next 20 years.
"It's
a double whammy," said the paper's lead author Conrad Wasko from UNSW.
"People
are increasingly migrating to cities, where flooding is getting worse. At the
same time, we need adequate flows in rural areas to sustain the agriculture to
supply these burgeoning urban populations."
The
extensive analysis, published Friday in the Nature Scientific Reports, is based
on data from nearly 50,000 rain and river monitoring sites across 160 countries.
Whereas
extreme "once in a lifetime" floods are causing increasingly large
water flows, regular cyclical inundations are having less and less of an effect
on the water table, Sharma said.
He added
that even though the increase in intensity of storms varied around the globe, a
persistent finding in the research was that more rain did not translate to more
water in river systems.
"One
thing that came out consistent was the change in rainfall was much more than
the change in flow", Sharma added.
The
paper's authors said engineering solutions were required to adapt to the change
in environment.
"In
places like Arizona, or California, the Netherlands, or the Snowy Mountains
Scheme (Australian hydroelectricity system), these things happened because of
civil engineers," Sharma said.
"We
felt that the way the natural system was working was not consistent with where
we want the population to be so we engineered an outcome... and we are
benefiting from all the work that was done so many years ago."
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