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China's economy has grown at its slowest pace in three years as investment slowed and demand fell in key markets such as the US and Europe. |
China's economy lost momentum in the second quarter, a survey shows, as
Beijing's efforts to curb risky lending and investment took a toll on the Asian
powerhouse.
The world's second largest economy expanded by 6.8 percent in the
April-June period, compared with a year ago, according to the median forecast
of 12 analysts polled by AFP.
That follows a better than expected increase of 6.9 percent in the first
three months of the year.
The estimate comes ahead of the official release on Monday of China's
closely watched GDP growth data for the second quarter.
Debt fuelled investment in infrastructure and real estate has
underpinned China's growth for years but warnings of a potential financial
crisis have spurred Beijing to clamp down.
In the latest alert, Fitch Ratings on Friday said China's growing debt
could trigger "economic and financial shocks" even as it maintained
its A-plus rating on the country.
That follows Moody's decision in May to downgrade China for the first
time in almost three decades on concerns over its ballooning credit and slowing
growth.
Tighter restrictions on property purchases and bank lending will
continue to weigh on the economy in the months ahead, said Larry Hu, head of
China economics at Macquarie Group.
"We expect GDP growth to trend down in the second half of 2017 on
slowing property sales and tight liquidity," he said.
The economy is likely to face further headwinds as consumption also
comes under pressure from slowing income growth, said Fan Zhang, senior China
economist at RHB Bank.
UBS chief China economist Tao Wang said "higher funding costs due
to supervisory tightening" will impact fixed-asset investment which
measures spending on real estate, roads and bridges.
But a sharp slowdown in the second half is unlikely as policymakers
prepare for an important Communist Party congress later this year that will
likely make President Xi Jinping the most powerful leader in a generation.
"It is therefore highly probable that authorities will use the
resources and policy tools at their disposal to ensure a positive economic
outcome," Citibank said.
The government has trimmed its 2017 GDP growth target to around 6.5
percent, after it expanded by 6.7 percent in 2016 its slowest rate in more than
a quarter of a century.
Despite growing concerns about China's financial risks, Premier Li
Keqiang said last month that the country could reach this year's economic
growth targets.
Last quarter's growth momentum had continued
into the current one, he said, noting that traditional economic indicators such
as power generation and consumption, and new business orders had increased
"significantly".
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